I don’t mean to be pessimistic, bit since most subreddits are only going dark for a couple days, the site will basically be back to normal soon. I wonder how many users here are only here because of temporary outrage and not because they actually prefer Lemmy. I’m curious about people’s outlook on this situation.

/s

Edit: Wow this blew up!

Edit 2: Thanks for the gold kind stranger!

Edit 3: RIP my inbox! I can’t believe this made /r/all!

Edit 4: We did it Reddit! Lemmy!

  • BitR1ot@fedia.io
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    1 year ago

    I have no intention of installing the official Reddit app. I’ve used Apollo for years and I’ll leave once it’s no longer an option. The way Reddit treated the Apollo developer is inexcusable.

    I managed to quit Twitter, I’m certain I can quit Reddit too.

  • Drew Got No Clue@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Impossible to say now, but definitely quite a lot of them are not going to be regular users. I still hope/believe the majority will stay though.

  • ConstipatedFox@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I can guarantee I won’t be going back to reddit on mobile if they go ahead with the API changes. I may occasionally use reddit on desktop but 99% of my reddit usage was on mobile via Sync.

    Once they get rid of old.reddit (which they inevitably will) that will force my hand and I’ll have to fully move to Lemmy. As luck would have it, the developer of Sync is considering re-purposing it to run on Lemmy which would be perfect for me.

    • wilberfan@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      I’m a Reddit mod and Sync is one of my favorite apps, so that’s exciting news! The ONLY reason I have the official Reddit app on my phone is to stay up to date on my chats when they come in.

  • iso@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    1 year ago

    I will likely go where Reddit Sync goes. I don’t really mind if the content here isn’t as vast as on Reddit, if I have Sync I have all that I need

    • iso@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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      Oh right, until then I’m actually using this platform straight from the browser. It’s actually working good enough for me that way.

  • panoptic@fedia.io
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    1 year ago

    No idea - but I actually think the Fediverse concept maps to Reddit way better than it has other social networks so I could see some iteration of this really catching on over time.

    For something like Twitter, the whole value proposition is “one big universal conversation” and the federated stuff gets in the way of that a little bit, but Reddit has always been a federation of communities (who occasionally fight, join together, cross post, etc) - that maps really well to this stuff.

  • WhoRoger@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I don’t think the kind of people who are willing to try out some geeky experiment of a social network are totally dependent on Reddit culture.

    Exodus from one network to another (or to nowhere) is a thing that’s happened in the past, and if anything, people aren’t willing to go back once they finally take the effort.

    Tho I’m guessing lots of people have multiple accounts such as alts for r34, and may keep using those until Reddit finally shuts off all nsfw.

    • Stormyfemme@beehaw.org
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      1 year ago

      This is still a new frontier of site conglomeration we have no data for. If anything we have contradicting data to previous instances of this occurring because megasites have yet to fail since the rise of Facebook.

      • WhoRoger@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        There have been MySpace -> FB, Digg -> Reddit, Viber -> WhatsApp, Hotmail -> Gmail, BlackBerry -> iPhone. Neither was 100% conversion, some kept their relevancy in certain markets, but those were quite some waves.

        Also, Tumblr completely kicked the bucket with its users dispersing, and while OF managed to save itself by backtracking, people were already migrating to other services.

        It may be true that the likes of FB, Twitter and Reddit are too big to fail right now, but people also keep finding alternatives.

        So, we’ll see.

        • alternativeninja@lemmy.sdf.org
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          1 year ago

          There’s still no mainstream competitor for Reddit. I love Lemmy, but the idea that someone with little to no computer expirence is going to find it easy to join and use is laughable.

  • Ulu-Mulu-no-die@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Probably a good chunk, I don’t mean to be pessimistic either but that’s how it usually works on “big” movements.

    Some people follow the flow because they’re caught into the enthusiasm of the moment while not being actually convinced about what they’re doing, those people are highly likely to go back when things are back to normal (tho in my opinion reddit will never be “normal” again).

    How many they are is impossible to tell.

    The blackout is only the first wave, there will be another one IMO when 3rd party apps actually shutdown (June 30th), after that, things will settle and population on lemmy will lower, that’s not a bad thing IMO, it doesn’t do any good to have people here that don’t actually want to be here.

    As for me, since I joined I’m doing my best to be involved in lemmy communities with the specific purpose of not missing reddit anymore and not care anymore when they’ll break old.reddit (they will like their doing with the API).

    I already feel at home here, I’m not going drastic as to nuke my reddit account or anything, tho I’ll most probably make a GDPR request and leave for good.

  • Laura@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    1 year ago

    It depends on how many communities migrate from reddit to lemmy. I will definitely not return to reddit on mobile once third party apps are shut down, but if reddit changes their stance and third party apps come back, I may go back if most of my communities haven’t migrated to lemmy.

  • WhiskyTangoFoxtrot@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    I’m probably going to start using Reddit again when the blackout ends and keep using it until the end of the month, but once RIF stops working I don’t see myself going back. The way I see it, the last couple of days have been a nice stress-test period for Lemmy, but the real exodus will start in July.

    • ConditionOverload@lemmy.world
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      Yeah Sync for Reddit is shutting down at the end of the month, so I’ll go back and save some of my favorites and then officially get off Reddit for good come July.

  • bardm@lemmy.fmhy.ml
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    I think I’ll have a look in a couple of days. But if they go through and kill 3rd party apps that’s goodbye from me.

    • Rivalarrival@lemmy.today
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      1 year ago

      Agreed.

      Old.reddit is OK on desktop. But on a mobile browser, it is constantly harassing you to the official app, which is absolutely terrible.

      When Relay stops working, I don’t see myself going back to reddit much at all.

  • bigkahuna1986@lemmy.ml
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    1 year ago

    If there’s one demographic of users likely to stick with the fediverse it’s going to be redditors.

      • WarlordSdocy@lemmy.world
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        I’d say it’s the fact that even as time has gone on and reddit has gotten more casual users there is still a much higher percentage of “hardcore” users on Reddit versus other social media. Or at the very least the hardcore users have a lot more influence then on other social medias, since they’re the ones more likely to be posting content lots of people see and moderating content. As well as those users being a lot more likely to be willing to learn a new more complicated platform and more likely to be directly affected by 3rd part apps shutting down. This all combined means that the hardcore users the platform relies on are more likely to leave to places like here and without them will make the website worse and cause more casual users to leave.

  • robocop@fedia.io
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    1 year ago

    As a near strictly mobile only user of Reddit for nearly 10 years, they have made the decision for me by forcing everyone to use their completely horrible app. On the rare occasions at work that a search result populates with a Reddit result, I’ll probably still go there, but using an adblocking browser.

    To me it is extremely difficult to justify Reddit actually achieving a worthwhile IPO when their product is reliant 100% on user generated content and volunteer moderation. As an investor, I would be concerned about the longevity of a forum that doesn’t have adequate moderation tools, shows hostility against their own userbase, and a complete disregard for their own “AMA rules”.

    Reddit is dead. They have struck their own final blow.

  • eric5949@beehaw.org
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    1 year ago

    Depends upon how many people come over here and how much content gets posted. If most communities are ghost towns a lot less people will stay, if it stays interesting more people will stay. Long term depends how quickly devs can catch up in terms of features and user experience.

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    Doesn’t matter, this is how these things gain traction. It’s all about trends, especially on social media, baby.