Mind your business.

  • 113 Posts
  • 99 Comments
Joined 7 months ago
cake
Cake day: April 18th, 2024

help-circle
















  • Ukraine is not supposed to win militarily on the battlefield. If the West wanted Ukraine to win, things such as allowing AFU to use ATACMS on Russian territory would not be a debate. The West wants Russia to attack Ukraine out of security necessity by threatening the expansion of NATO to Georgia and Ukraine, which it announced in 2008. Russia is a nuclear power. You don’t threaten defeat on a nuclear power without risk.

    The situation is like how the Russians were arming the North Vietnamese against Americans. The US justified involvement in Vietnam because of the so-called communist domino theory. North Vietnam won anyway and the South fell to the communist, and the communist domino threat theory went unquestioned. Because the domino theory was absurd. Vietnamese were ultranationalist, and no communist domino effect happened when the US cut and ran. The idea that communism was like a virus that needed to be contained from turning into a pandemic was a justification to be involved in the politics of other countries. Vietnamese were never allies of China or the Russians, just like the mujahedeen were never allies with the US.


  • These counteroffensives are propaganda for the consumption of the gullible public and civilian leadership to justify extending the war. An enemy that had years to create a defensive line, with another line behind it, isn’t going to break meaningfully. When you launch a counteroffensive, the risk if you overextend and can’t sustain the offensive. This is a political war in the grand scheme of things. Launching a NATO style offensive was a signal to Russia that NATO has it in their gunfights, and that Ukraine will eventually be a NATO country.

    Russia decided on a war of attrition because it does not have a large enough population to draw from, despite being the bigger country. The logistical issues have been there for a long time.

    Contrary to Western misinformation, Russians do not send in wave attacks. They did that in the very early days of the war as reconnaissance, to measure the hostility of enemy territory. Those were conscripts.

    To win a war of attrition, you need firepower. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to recognize that Ukrainians are under-equipped. If Ukrainians don’t release actual KIA numbers, you just need to look at their equipment numbers. Not only is there no evidence of Russian wave attacks. It makes no sense to do that when you have a firepower advantage over the enemy. Ukrainian counteroffensives only benefit the war of attrition strategy that Russia is fighting. The point of attrition is to gradually decrease the strength of the enemy, before you move in. That is done by enveloping the enemy forces from three sides, under range of artillery. Destroy the supply depots of the enemy, their equipment, and infrastructure. In addition, air superiority. Ukrainian SAM batteries are actively hunted, and simply are not effective against swarms of cheap drones. This makes air superiority even more important.

    Ukrainians have to measure vitality by being aggressive, because the numbers don’t support their claim otherwise. That is why they won’t release KIA numbers, and they feign strength by being offensive. Zelenskyy’s propaganda speeches use these offensives, such as in the one in Kursk, as the visible strength of Ukraine on the battlefield. Ukrainians were more successful in 2022 when the Russian military was weak due to war rust and the decaying nature of the Russian military. The Russian military of 2024 is much better than the Russian military of 2022.












  • Ludwig Von Mises was a highly educated man and spoke post college level English and his native tongue, German. Are you sure you want to compare credentials? Joe Biden speaks well below high school level. Joe has nothing on a genius. His economic advisor is an embarrassment to responsible statecraft. The meritless kakistocracy that democratic Marxist activism promotes, for example DEI, promoting based on social justice instead of merit. Mises was a great man, Biden is a mediocre man who is elected by people who consider themselves less than him.




  • It’s possible to have aspirations beyond what your current capabilities are. Look at Benito Mussolini’s entire military history. Russian state media regularly makes claims that they will reconquer the Baltics and Poland. They even said they would nuke the North Sea to destroy Britain with a tidal wave. Are we supposed to just ignore what they say?

    I am going to make a bet you can’t back up your statements. NATO is too stupid to figure out the military strength of Russia and takes their word for it, instead?


  • I dont think its unreasonable to assume that the Russian military command genuinely believed the they were a lot stronger than they actually were when this started. Just based on what news I’ve been following, it seems like its very common for Russian officers to lie to their superiors about how strong their units are for the sake of looking good.

    Russia isn’t part of NATO. Why is NATO contradicting itself with a narrative that Putin is out to conquer Europe, bring back the USSR, and claim here, it is too weak to do so on this front?




  • Russia does not want to annex Ukraine, and it is doing so anyway, so that is irrelevant. It is a demilitarizing process. The nuance is key. Since NATO is a persistent threat that likes to test boundaries, they will annex is the Russian-speaking oblast of Ukraine or make them their own republics. Ukraine ideally was supposed to be a neutral buffer zone between NATO and Russia. There is no trust for that, so the Russian elites decided that the next best thing is to invade Ukraine in order to eliminate its war fighting capability. Ukraine conflict made the Russian military stronger and made the Ukrainian army much weaker. The issue is trust between NATO and Russia. If NATO and the EU left Ukraine as a non-aligned, neutral country, the Russians would have not invaded. There is a reason why the Russians did what they did, not because they want to, but for future survival. The decision to invade Ukraine did not come easy. Israel on the other hand chooses to bomb Gaza and Hamas is nowhere near the threat that NATO is to Russia, in the eyes of the Russians.



  • Zionism is extremist to liberal ideology; the idea that a people have a right to settle a land and create a country while dismissing the people who lived there for centuries. It is not that extremism took over Israel. The premise of Zionism is nationalism. It is the same type of nationalism that motivates an Argentine to claim the Falkland Islands. The only difference is Israeli nationalism is justified by theology. Similar to how Islam gives Muslims the right to “put civilizations to the right path”. It is a matter of supremacy. Westerners cry about racism all the time, it is always on the news, something racist happened, a person is racist, while at the same time, they seem quite tolerant of supremacy in the Greater Israel region. While activist treat Zionism as some kind of special supremacy, it is just nationalism. The State Of Israel is a primarily Jewish. That is the whole point of in the foundation of Israel. The “People Of Israel” run the state. A Christian, a Muslim, a pagan, a non-Jew, are not part of the Nation Of Israel. If Israel is thought of in this way, it makes you wonder why American politicians, who preach about democratic liberalism being the correct order for the world, using this as a justification to blow people up, supports a nationalist country that is arguably, at the very least, of committing war crimes. I don’t consider American civilian leadership particularly smart people, but most of the laymen do. American military leadership on the other hand do understand Israel is a liability, and this is from their cold military analysis.