BynarsAreOk [none/use name]

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Joined 4 years ago
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Cake day: March 16th, 2021

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  • Yes, re-industrialization can and will eventually happen, but it won’t happen immediately.

    It definitely wont happen exactly because there is a reason capitalists moved to the global south in the first place. Industry in the north is not profitable. This will never change unless the north population goes through either some massive economic shock doctrine akin to a WW2/3 scenario or probably massive climate change catastrophe.

    Its like every single time we forget history, the only reason why the US industry grew in the first place, the only reason the west managed to industrialize in the first place, the obvious consequences for Germany when they were put on the dead end of industrialization(e.g entirely dependent on imported energy).

    If we consider these things the US is far more likely to collapse and balkanize. I expect chuds shooting liberals well before chuds and liberals hands together working in a factory for $5 an hour which is necessary for industrial profitability nowadays.

    This is not to say that America will be a bad place to live in, it is simply that its standard of living will be below what its citizens are currently able to “enjoy” (in relative terms to the Global South). Meanwhile, real economic growth will happen in the East where their living standards will be far above the former Imperial Core, and you can expect many skilled talents would seek to emigrate as well.

    If by “East” you mean China yeah maybe if we consider the richest cities, otherwise you need some reality checks on what the average work and life condition in Japan and South Korea is like.





  • Not sure why this type of garbage mainstream econ “common sense” got upvoted.

    Respecfuly, read Graeber’s BS jobs. China isn’t a magical place exempt from those issues. On the contrary, recent years there is an issue with larger youth unemployment due to too many graduates not finding white collar jobs i.e people want BS jobs that pay well and give benefits. It got nothing to do with productivity or the “workforce”.

    Tell the office workers in every T1 city they have to take 4h off every week to help with local community services for example, or just reduce the work hours in general.

    There are solutions, it requires the party to reevaluate their commitment to economic growth at any cost. China is a complicated topic but the easiest way for them to fail is to listen to exactly this type of mainstream western econ shitty rethoric and surprise surprise stupid decisions like this happens exactly when they do that.


  • Personaly climate change is still the main issue. The data showed the COVID lockdowns were similar to what would be necessary to avoid 1.5C.

    At the bare minimum if you wanted to be “civil” about it, we would need global governments to completely enforce a survival mode only economic system, no economic activity beyond the stritcly necessary.

    On that front China should absolutely be praised as they’re literaly the only ones improving massively, but unfortunately its not enough, the longer we take the more drastic measures would be necessary. Crazy to think but its 2025 already and literaly all projections followed the “worst possible” or “Unexpected” projection lol.

    A large part of my frustration is that our past revolutionary comrades never predicted or had to deal with such a hard deadline. Lenin, Mao or Castro etc, none of them were told “if you fail humanity will die in less than a generation”.

    And it is this lack of urgency that is worrysome. I realy couldn’t care less about Chinese or Soviet “diplomacy” towards the US if the year was 1955 and all we fantasized was FALGSC in the year 2000.

    Instead its 2025 and we count how many different climate disasters are going to happen within the next 10 years.


  • Russia got too comfortable with the mild sanctions effect in the first two years that they actually believed they can rely on China forever. They are now paying the price.

    This is entirely expected, but it wasn’t a “mistake”. The entire dedollarization rhetoric is a relic of 2022 when it was looking like China was actualy willing to take an independent and adversarial stance against the west. This meant BRICS could have been a viable alternative for a multipolar world under Chinese leadership. Maybe if China continued on that path and decided 2022-2025 would be the time period to settle the Taiwan question using BRICS as their defensive bloc.

    Instead of course we get the opposite. The west complained, a Pelosi humiliated them and the media called them “wolf warriors” then everything took a 180 turn. China since then reassured the west that they wont even try to use BRICS as their own bloc/platform and that they only want “collaboration” and “peace”.

    I’ll quote MR way from April '23 where he basicaly confirms all these “difficulties” with dedollarization(putting it mildly)

    spoiler

    It’s undoubtedly true that the imposition of economic sanctions on Russia employed by the imperialist governments – banning of energy imports; seizing FX reserves; closing international banking settlement systems – has accelerated the move away from holding the dollar and euro. However, Lagarde added the caveat that this trend is still way short of dramatically changing the global financial order. “These developments do not point to any imminent loss of dominance for the US dollar or the euro. So far, the data do not show substantial changes in the use of international currencies. But they do suggest that international currency status should no longer be taken for granted.”

    Lagarde is right. As I have shown in previous posts, that although the US and the EU have lost ground in the share of world production, trade and even currency transactions and reserves, there is still a long way to go before declaring a ‘fragmented’ world economy in that sense.

    The US dollar (and to a lesser extent the euro) remains dominant in international payments. The US dollar is not being gradually replaced by the euro, or the yen, or even the Chinese renminbi, but by a batch of minor currencies.

    The US dollar and its hegemony is not under threat yet because “50-60% of foreign-held US short-term assets are in the hands of governments with strong ties to the United States – meaning they are unlikely to be divested for geopolitical reasons.” (Lagarde). And it’s even the case that ‘anti-US’ China remains heavily committed in its FX reserves to the US dollar. China publicly reported that it reduced the dollar share of its reserves from 79% to 58% between 2005 and 2014. But China doesn’t appear to have changed the dollar share of its reserves in the last ten years.

    As Patrick Bond put it recently: “The “talk left, walk right” of BRICS’ role in global finance is seen not only in its vigorous financial support for the International Monetary Fund during the 2010s, but more recently in the decision by the BRICS New Development Bank – supposedly an alternative to the World Bank – to declare a freeze on its Russian portfolio in early March, since otherwise it would not have retained its Western credit rating of AA+. ” And Russia is a 20% equity holder in NDB.

    Ouch

    Since the stupid embarrassing Xi-Biden meeting in Nov '23(which happened over a month after Oct 7th and after everyone knew what the Gaza genocide looked like), China says US bad for everyone that wants to hear. Then they turn around and literaly welcome the same people we call nazis here. They are following through with what they say, like it or not.

    I think dedollarization is still possible but it requires commitment to creating a crisis for the global economy and sadly nobody wants that. Sadly atm there is not much to look forward to, there is no indication China will change their stance.


  • I think that China could do absolutely untold damage to the American psyche and illusion of invulnerability if it simply instantly obliterated these clowns on Taiwan from hundreds of kilometers away with a cloud of drones dense enough to block out the sun.

    IDK about this, I think this is quite unrealistic and almost mythical level thinking.

    IMO drones work well in Ukraine because its a huge battlefield we haven’t seen something like this since WW2. For some context the Ukraine war front is well over 1000km.

    The current Korean DMZ is a “tiny” 250km. The Taiwan straight is also something like 300kmx180km or so.

    This means that both sides have trouble providing consistent and effective air cover for their troops, despite the Russian natural advantage Ukrainian drones are still quite effective.

    Turning to Taiwan this is the opposite, it would be a very concentrated battle and anti-drone systems should be more effective simply because its a smaller area.

    China already achieved military superiority over the US and the conflict will be decided over naval superiority by destroying or even damaging the US carrier fleet. In fact I do like the theory sinking a US carrier would be far worse than 9/11 for the average population and internal US politics, although perhaps that would mean accepting a WW3.






  • This article is corporate shit nonsense where he contradicts himself. He says the stuff made for Japan is now acceptable everywhere i.e Japan norms become mainstream and assures that things are not changing. But then he talks about “expressions” which is what exactly? Who knows, maybe this is a translation issue, but thinking a story about incest is about “expression” and not “storytelling” as he puts it then this is just nonsense, I mean literaly translation issue I guess. What is the interpretation supposed to be? Its fine to make a incest romcom just make sure to not include the steam covered baths, the beach episode and the pantyshot every episode? Yeah sure ok mr. Megacorpo shitter.

    “Now, however, the same fun and excitement can be experienced at the same time in any region,” he added. “That is how common Japanese animation has become around the world. What we thought was for the Japanese market is now accepted in all regions. I believe that the market has matured to that extent.”

    Their curiosity piqued by his mention of anime’s acceptance on the global stage, Mantanweb then asked Yawata,”Japanese animation has a history of unique evolution that is not found anywhere else. There is even a kind of radicalized expression. When it comes to distribution to the world, is it necessary to change the style?”

    In turn, the Disney exec opined, “I don’t think there has been any major shift. The fundamental storytelling, the precision of the action, etc. have not changed, but there may be a shift toward adopting more acceptable expressions.”

    In order to be seen by many people, expressions that do not hurt or mislead people should be taken for granted,” he continued. “That is not a negative thing, but perhaps an evolution. When videograms were the focus, there was a tendency for only those who wanted to buy them to do so, but our awareness is changing because we are now distributing to a larger market through a service that can be viewed at any time by adults and children alike.”

    What people are probably going to be concerned about is a sudden shift towards western audience preferences which a lot of people here give way too much credit for, I mean in one side we constantly shit on gamers, Gamer culture, AAA culture, all the hollywood trash, but then also unironically when fucking the western monolithic entertainment corp guys says they want more of that then its obvious good because you should assume good faith that they just mean less pedoshit and not more gamer or generic Netflix show#5154363446 and that is definitely an improvement.

    You can fight for better things without trying to pander to westerners questionable tastes either. Disney is not your damn friend. This clueless person is just trying to play both sides anyway. Disney wants shit to stream and their only values is whatever the marketing department says will pull numbers.



  • I don’t understand why everyone is so obsessed with “China manufacturing overcapacity.”

    Everyone = western mainstream economists and their media mouthpieces you mean.

    Certainly China isn’t worried, the only question is how much influence westerners realy have. China changed much of their FP since 2022 and after the US cried and called it “wolf warrior diplomacy”. I’m sure most people remember that, it was the good old days when Biden would ask for a phone call and Xi would tell them to go fuck themselves.

    These days Yellen may as well own a vacation home in Beijing so who realy knows how much weight they realy give to these neoliberal economics and their priests?

    Nevertheless as long as the CPC continues to grow the public ownership share of the economy like it is doing then it is sort of in the correct path.

    The US is literaly giving the game away. They go on the media and ask for a “level playing field” exactly because the state is not supposed to grow or interfere, they’re right the US wont be able to compete because they can’t do the only thing that works.


  • If you are intereted in an actual above average/good GBF “multiverse” anime maybe you’ve heard of Rage of Bahamut Genesis. Favaro is a gigachad nuff said. Its good because it was before Cygames got big and ambitions drinking their own koolaid. Some people don’t like Virgin Soul, I thought it was fine too, but I recommend the original S1 first and foremost.

    I quit GBF a long time ago now in early 2020, at that time the game was already dying. Cygames was the typical xenophobic shit pandering to 2ch, in 2019 or so they mass banned foreigners because of browser plugins, just QOL stuff realy, but the Japanese couldn’t or wouldn’t make or use their own QOL so they cried etc.

    The Chinese gachas(Arknights and Mihoyo) completely destroyed the competition at that point too.

    The GBF anime was entirely made to promote the gacha game and it followed that story, if you’re disappointment with the anime its sadly because as I said the franchise had potential. When the anime was made in 2017-8 the story was in a decent place, all they had to do was skip pretty much the entire early stuff and ignore the main 5. Yet they did the opposite.

    The gacha game had some very good even stories too, specifically I think the What Makes The Sky Blue series, that first event was the 3rd anniversary in 2017 the same year as the anime. Sandalphon is probably the most popular male these days and that was his debut.

    I can tell you Cygames is incredibly incompetent, apparently Seofon, Twen and Sandalphon are DLC characters for Relink, I don’t have or played that game but, Seofon and Twen are part of the Eternals I mentioned. Too little too late but I guess it will be good for new people into the franchise.

    GBF could have been the next Fate. That is how anticipated and how much good material they had to work with. Maybe not the first season but certainly the second season. The next Fate will definitely be Genshin when that anime comes.


  • GBF was one of the biggest disappointments ever, it had potential, if you are at all familiar with the franchise it got some people from Final Fantasy working on the GBF game, the gacha game story wasn’t even that bad once you get past the early stuff.

    But the problem is GBF is a gacha game primarily, and it had a lot of fan favorite characters, its ridiculously bloated for a gacha. But imo in particular just the Eternals they’re one of the best designed characters I’ve seen anywhere, also in terms of personality too, and also top notch VAs etc…

    But you see what stupid Japanese incompetent company decides to double down on? The most bland main cast ever created. Also litealy half the appeal of the MCs in the gacha game is the fact they can transform into all these different classes and they wear all these different outfits etc but nah, not even that.

    The gacha game is slave labor simulator 2014 but Cavalier, Gunslinger, Luchador, Glorybringer, Runeslayer… what could have been.