GlueBear [they/them, comrade/them]

Hi

  • 2 Posts
  • 85 Comments
Joined 7 months ago
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Cake day: February 10th, 2024

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  • I can’t disagree with anything you’ve said, but I still feel that China might choose the route that alienates the least G7/ EU member states.

    Even if some users here feel it’s foolish for China to expect US “allies” to hold their own interests above Washington’s, China might not burn trade deals that could jeopardize relationships with Europe. China is still working on expanding trade with the EU at the same time it’s working with Russia and Iran.

    China’s interests don’t 100% line up with its allies’ interests. The US on the other hand expects its enemies to be the enemies of their allies as well, but China knows that doesn’t need to be the case.

    It could be that China tries to turn the trade war against the US by playing both sides, while the US will undoubtedly escalate. If it turns out to be the case, then this could further alienate Washington from their EU allies.

    This paves the way for more Chinese trade and more expansion of the BRI into Europe, while simultaneously reducing Washington’s influence on trade in the region.

    Tldr: China taking the nuclear stop trade with us option is a possibility, but they might just play the long game so they can end up on everybody’s (except US) good side 10-20 years down the line.






  • Not to be that person, but if you can’t remember that lebanon was already invaded by the Zionists in 2006 I would stop posting in the news mega. I really don’t know why this by comparison isn’t a minor fuck up, we’re talking about war with a nuclear regional power backed by another nuclear superpower. This isn’t the end all be all for a protracted war, and Hamas suffered significantly worse losses yet they’re still grinding the iof in Gaza. The slew of assassinations hasn’t stopped them, neither will this stop Hezbollah because wars hinge on material realities. The material reality that the entity is currently burning itself out militarily and had to resort to drafting barely 1 year into this genocide, has suffered severe economic consequences, is currently dealing with a 250K+ internal displacement situation, and rapid eroding of the settler psyche (among others) hasn’t changed. It will only get worse because that’s what happens when you open multiple fronts without finishing the others. Those material realities are what determine the direction of the war, not some terror attack that killed <25 people.

    The content in the mega is slowly becoming less material analysis and more armchair vibes. It has become more toxic, and clearly things haven’t gotten better or even stayed the same since the kursk invasion. Just a bunch of armchair crackers dooming and glooming like every battle needs to be won or go a certain way or the whole war is lost. No such thing as a protracted war or long term consequences. Just the here and now.

    It’s on track to becoming another reddit because of posters like you, xiong-whatever, and boredom. If you have nothing valuable to post, then don’t. Air your weird fixations and bad vibes in the general mega or make a post about it somewhere else.

    People are getting sick of “it’s so over” posting. It’s become obnoxious.